A few months ago I wrote a popular article called “The Path to EURUSD 1.1000“. The premise: A new consensus was forming for the euro, where nearly every possible scenario leads to a lower EURUSD and FXE. This consensus is widespread today. It’s widely recognized there must be drastic steps to save the Euro from total [...]
Oil and the Canadian Dollar, Together Again
May 10, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
Oil and the Canadian Dollar have a well known relationship. When Oil goes up, so does the Canadian Dollar. This correlation has been estimated to be extremely high during some time periods. The FXC shows this relationship very well, as does the USDCAD. Still, this correlation can change in strength - sometimes the Canadian Dollar does not respond as [...]
How to Make Money even when the Stock Market Loses
March 30, 2012 by · 1 Comment
It’s finally here! We’ve been working like mad scientists over here at Trend Following 101 on the EZ ETF system, and it’s finally ready! The first issue and ETF recommendations will be going out to subscribers this evening. These early subscribers have a pleasant surprise coming. They thought they were getting a solid program with [...]
Did a Commodity Crash Start today? TF101 Signals 3-6-2012
March 6, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
I’ve warned a few times about the potential for massive sell off in commodities – and there is a chance this huge sell off started today. When I look at the supply and demand fundamentals facing individual commodities, I see very bearish signs in nearly every commodity. I can’t tell if this potential crash is [...]
Should I Stay?
February 15, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
The euro currency – a new trade from a few days back – shows some promise. I am writing about the euro extensively at my site GenerateFX.com. I believe the euro could drag the world into a credit crisis – it’s quite bad over there. As recently as 1 month ago, it seemed to me [...]
The Week Ahead in Trends: 2-5-2012
February 5, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
No deal for Greece means uncertainty, which means a lower EURUSD. So every day of delay will tend to push the euro lower. Also, I suspect the longer the deal for Greece is delayed, the more obvious it becomes Portugal and Ireland want a deal and a better one than Greece is getting. The Euro [...]
Three Trending Markets Worth Watching Now
February 3, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
There are three trends I think worth watching right now. I follow trends, so I look at lots of different markets. And these three pop out at me as being interesting markets right now. Trend Following is a Science of trading the markets. It’s easy to understand how it all works. Entries: Trend Following Scans [...]
EURUSD: Is It Buy The Rumor, Sell The Fact On Greece?
January 30, 2012 by · 8 Comments
Is this upcoming deal on Greek debt a situation of “Buy the rumor, sell the fact?” It’s widely rumored in the press there will be deal on Greece this week. This deal might solve the problem for Greece – but it does set the standard for future deals on the remaining problem debt. From here [...]
Why do Market Pros Suspect the Natural Gas Trend is Nearly Over?
January 27, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
Today, the Natural Gas lost 5%. The system is short Natural Gas, and the trend is strongly downward. We’re trend followers, so this huge move down is good news for the short Natural Gas trade. It’s a continuation of a long, downward trend. So why do I suspect the massive downtrend in the Natural Gas [...]
As TF 101 Predicted: Natural Gas Spikes Higher
January 24, 2012 by · 1 Comment
I warned last week the Natural Gas might be oversold, and warned about a possible extreme move against the trend. Today, the Natural Gas rallied 10%. Yep, I’ll take a quick victory lap here. The Natural Gas has been in a huge downward trend since July, and the TF101 system is catching it. The trade was [...]
