U.S. Bond Rally Intact

The U.S. Bonds rally continued this week.  The profit on this contract is huge and growing at 8,000 per contract. Because the current stop is actually quite far away, it will take a bit of work to take this contract out.   The Trendfollowing101 system stop is a bit farther away, but next week will [...]

July was a good month for Trend Followers

July was a great month for trenfollowing.  The major funds all posted gains, and some of the gains were extremely large. Here are some of the returns for big-name Trendfollowers: Dunn Capital: 19.93% Hawksbill: 6.92% Man AHL:  .2% Each of these funds have different levels of risk, and some of them are very large.  Usually, [...]

Oil Bear Market? Massive Longs Liquidating their Positions imply a price of $70/barrel

The big story of the last year is the inflation trade. We are seeing now is the complete refutation of the inflation trade.   Oil prices dived 35% lower in just a few weeks.  Bond prices are making new highs nearly every day. Both of these bets – short bonds and higher oil – are [...]

30 Year Bonds – Profit Taking Stops moving up

30th

The 30 year bonds are in a strong rally, and over the next several days, the stop will be moving up dramatically.  The 10 day low will move up from 130-18 to 134-02. For a short term trend following system, this is big money at $2,500 per contract. Not bad for a trade that’s just a [...]